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Phosphate rock is the main raw material for phosphate fertilizer production. However, the current situation of resources is very optimistic. It is reported that currently China's total phosphate rock resources have 16.786 billion tons, of which the basic reserves are only 4.054 billion tons, while the recoverable reserves in the basic reserves are only 2.111 billion tons, with an average grade of about 23%. According to calculations by authoritative departments, according to the current consumption, these recoverable phosphate ore reserves can be mined for about 36 years. This means that the amount of phosphate rock mined can only meet the demand around 2040. Even if the basic reserve of phosphate rock is mined by raising the technological level, the phosphate rock can only meet the current demand until 2060. If large-scale expansion of phosphate fertilizer production capacity during this period, increase the consumption of phosphate rock, it is difficult to say when the existing phosphate rock resources can be used.
In addition, due to the current disorderly mining of phosphate resources, Yunnan, Hubei and other phosphorus-rich areas have introduced policies to limit the total amount of phosphate mining, and the restrictions on the transfer of phosphate rock. As a result, expanding the production of phosphate fertilizers in areas other than the provinces rich in phosphorous will soon encounter resource problems. Not only the supply is limited, but the cost of transport will also greatly increase. Therefore, if the expansion of new projects in the phosphate and compound fertilizer industry is not controlled, then even if the project is built more and the production capacity is even greater, there is no phosphorus ore resource installation that is difficult to operate. If you rely entirely on imported ore from abroad, the supply will not be guaranteed. The price will inevitably be high and the production and operation of the company will be difficult. By then, it will be too late to regret it.
Phosphate fertilizer companies located in rich phosphorus areas need to consider carefully. Although these companies do not have the resources to supply, they must consider the capacity of the entire market. According to statistics, the market demand for phosphate fertilizer in China is about 11 million tons this year, and the future growth potential is not great. However, due to the rapid expansion of production capacity in the past two years, the current total of re-constructed projects and proposed projects will make China's total phosphate fertilizer capacity surpass the United States in two years, reaching a level of 15 million tons, and will exceed the domestic market demand by about 3 million tons by then. .
Therefore, the capacity expansion of phosphate fertilizer companies should be considered carefully.
With the boom in the phosphate fertilizer market in recent years, some powerful companies are planning or are planning to build new projects with capacity expansion. As far as the author knows, there are high-concentration phosphorus compound fertilizer projects in Chongqing with a total investment of 2 billion yuan, and 400,000 tons of phosphorus compound fertilizer expansion projects in Anhui. However, from the perspective of the overall development of the phosphate fertilizer industry, the author believes that this expansion should be prudent.